Arantxa Rus vs Madelief Hageman Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Success: Recently, Hageman has been more effective on their second serve, winning 40.37% of those points compared to Rus's 35.16%. Is Hageman’s better second serve percentage a strong predictor of victory? It could be, given the high correlation with match outcomes.
• Return Game Analysis: While Rus excels in returning second serves, winning 51.72% of these points, Hageman trails slightly at 46.54%. On first serve returns, both are fairly close, with Hageman marginally ahead at 37.76% compared to Rus’s 36.36%.
• Handling Pressure: When saving breakpoints, Rus has a narrow lead, managing to save 47.48% versus Hageman's 46.96%. How significant is this slight edge under pressure? It could be crucial during tight moments in the match.
• Annual Performance: Over the past year, Rus has shown a superior match win rate at 52.24%, whereas Hageman has secured 45.61% of their contests.
• Best Surface: On clay, Rus holds a stellar career win rate of 67%, significantly outperforming Hageman’s 52%. Could the playing surface be a decisive factor?
• Competitive Level: Rus has shone brighter in higher-tier Challenger/ITF events, winning 66.67% of such matches, while Hageman has a lower success rate of 42.55% in Futures/Satellites.
• Opponent Quality: Rus has faced higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 179.31 compared to Hageman’s 386.51, suggesting Rus is more accustomed to challenging competitions.
• Deciding Set Performance: In matches going the distance, Rus shines with a 68% win rate in deciding sets, compared to Hageman’s 53%.
• Break Point Conversion: Both are proficient in capitalizing on break points, with Rus slightly ahead at 41.74% conversion rate over Hageman’s 40.53%.

Editorial Prediction (July 9, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming tennis match presents an intriguing clash, with each player showcasing distinct strengths.

Rus’s proficiency in returning second serves and their higher quality of opponents indicate a slight edge in competitive experience. Additionally, their superior performance in deciding sets and ability to perform under pressure in higher-tier tournaments provide a compelling case for potential victory.

While Hageman demonstrates a stronger second serve success and matches closely in break point conversions, the overall analysis favors Rus. The deciding factor could well be their impressive win record on clay, the assumed surface of play.

Based on these statistics and current forms, Rus seems to have a slight advantage and is the more likely winner of this event.